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30.07.2008

Is the South Caucasus the “Achilles Heel” of Russia-US Relations?

Conflicts
 

http://www.geotimes.ge/index.php?m=home&newsid=11719
Due to the global geopolitical transformations that are steadily transforming relations into another possible Cold War scenario and “soft bipolarity”, the South Caucasus is gaining new momentum. The power changes in Russia (Putin-Medvedev tandem) and the upcoming power transfer in the US (from the Bush Administration to a yet unknown political team) directly influences the processes of contemporary international relations. “Neo-Realpolitik” of the 21st century dominates the minds and thoughts of the international community. Relations between the two global power-centers are important and decisive for world politics. Steadily, the global power polarity is shifting away from unipolarity (i.e. USA dominance) into multipolarity (i.e. more engagement of Russia and as well as India, Brazil and EU).
Russia-US relations have been transforming from strategic (as in Yeltsin’s so-called “Week Power” status period) into more pragmatic, but perhaps less “friendly” interactions (as in Putin-Medvedev’s period). Controversial issues, even in such remote global politics as Presidential elections in Zimbabwe, not to mention more “hot-spot” issues, like contradictions over Iranian nuclear program, NATO enlargement towards East, anti-missile defense system deployment in Central Europe, are demonstrating how contemporary world politics are elusive and dynamic and often times quite murky. Unfortunately, despite the formal arrangements in Russia-USA relations (the global war against terrorism, NATO-Russia Council, global energy security, North Korea nuclear program, and global warming) the drawbacks to bilateral connections are outnumbering the benefits.
As we are to see the change of power in Washington and the Moscow’s White House is in the hands of Gazprom and Siloviki group representatives, the events will take a more dramatic turn. That it was no accident that Henry Kissinger, ex-State Secretary contributed to calming down the strained relations between the Soviet Union and the US for that time was seen in the following:
“America, should alter the policy of assertive intrusion into what Russians consider their own sense of self … We can affect [Russia] more by patience and historical understanding than by offended disengagement and public exhortations. Perhaps Washington should douse the rhetoric, but there is a causal connection between domestic politics and foreign policy. Today, Russia’s sense-of-self thrives upon overrunning others’ sense-of-self. The West, particularly America, must offer no succor here.”
This quote demonstrates that there is a crisis in bilateral linkage between global powers. This jargon refers to the holding of nuclear weapons as well as pursuing the constant zones of dominance like for the USA, Latin America and for Russia, the Eurasian space (including the South Caucasus as a geopolitical “gateway” to the Eurasia space).
         

 

+ Cooperation 
Where Russia-USA Compete and Where they Cooperate

 

- Competition

 Global War against Terrorism

 Global Energy Security

 NATO-Russia Council

 Global Economic Integration (WTO pattern)

 North Korea Nuclear Program

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Versus 
 Anti-Missile Defense System deployment in Europe

 Iran Nuclear Program

 Human Right Protection and Mass-Media Liberty

 Regional Energy Security (Caucasus-Caspian regional contradictions)

 Conflict Reconciliation Approaches in post-Soviet space (notable the Abkhazian case-study)

 Democracy in Africa

 Kosovo issue

 

Dr. Vakhtang Maisaia Chairman, Foreign Policy Association of Georgia
2008.07.28 15:15

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